Backgammon Dice Probabilities & Blot Hitting Odds Table
The decisive difference between casual backgammon players and tournament masters is managing dice probabilities rather than relying on blind luck. Rolling two six-sided dice produces 36 distinct outcomes.
The 36 Dice Combinations & Core Distribution
Two six-sided dice yield 6x6=36 combinations. Six of them are doubles (1-1, 2-2, 3-3, 4-4, 5-5, 6-6) with a 16.67% (1/6) roll chance. The probability of rolling a specific number on at least one die is 11/36 (30.56%).
Blot Hitting Odds Table (Risk by Pip Distance)
- 1 Pip: 11/36 (30.56%) - Medium Risk
- 2 Pips: 12/36 (33.33%) - Medium Risk
- 3 Pips: 14/36 (38.89%) - High Risk
- 4 Pips: 15/36 (41.67%) - High Risk
- 5 Pips: 15/36 (41.67%) - High Risk
- 6 Pips (MOST DANGEROUS): 17/36 (47.22%) - Hit nearly half the time via direct 6s and combination rolls!
- 7 Pips (GOLDEN ESCAPE): 6/36 (16.67%) - No single die can hit; risk drops to one-third!
- 8 Pips: 6/36 (16.67%) - Low Risk
- 9 Pips: 5/36 (13.89%) - Low Risk
- 10 Pips: 3/36 (8.33%) - Very Low Risk
- 11 Pips: 2/36 (5.56%) - Very Low Risk
- 12 Pips: 3/36 (8.33%) - Very Low Risk
Bar Entry Odds & Traditional Persian Dice Calls
Bar entry chances against blocked home-board points: 1 blocked = 97.2%, 2 blocked = 88.9%, 3 blocked = 75.0%, 4 blocked = 55.6%, 5 blocked = 30.6%, 6 blocked (closed out) = 0%. Classic Persian dice calls: Hep Yek (1-1), Dü Bara (2-2), Dü Se (3-3), Dört Cihar (4-4), Dü Beş (5-5), Dü Şeş (6-6), Şeş Beş (6-5), Penc-ü Se (5-3).
More In-Depth Backgammon Guides
Review board setup and prime tactics in How to Play Backgammon? Rules & Strategy and explore folk rules in Turkish Backgammon Variants.